I would like to point out the confusion between the improvement of engineering and the invention of a new energy source.
Mechanical looms consistently became smaller because humans always have had been getting better at engineering, but the essence of productivity never changed before the invention of the steam engine.
Not that I disagree with this article, but I rather think the article might be underselling in that aspect.
However I would challenge the decentralization claim, we don't really own the operating system on our computers, nor do we own any office/creative softwares, these are all licensed to us.
If history rhymes, then capitals would always accumalate. What we actually own is a new chapter of productivity.
Very interesting analogy. One thing that’s different though: Moore’s law isn’t holding up anymore. In the beginning of the computer era the number of transistors on a microchip roughly doubled every two years, causing an exponential growth in computing power and likewise decrease in costs and size of computers. However as transistors are getting smaller we’re nearing the quantum realm, where everything behaves differently. Electrons tunnel through barriers they’re not supposed to, and it takes ‘light’ with extremely high energy to etch out the chips
I would like to point out the confusion between the improvement of engineering and the invention of a new energy source.
Mechanical looms consistently became smaller because humans always have had been getting better at engineering, but the essence of productivity never changed before the invention of the steam engine.
Not that I disagree with this article, but I rather think the article might be underselling in that aspect.
However I would challenge the decentralization claim, we don't really own the operating system on our computers, nor do we own any office/creative softwares, these are all licensed to us.
If history rhymes, then capitals would always accumalate. What we actually own is a new chapter of productivity.
i hope the bubble pops soon, im never gonna use that shit. fuck ai
Very interesting analogy. One thing that’s different though: Moore’s law isn’t holding up anymore. In the beginning of the computer era the number of transistors on a microchip roughly doubled every two years, causing an exponential growth in computing power and likewise decrease in costs and size of computers. However as transistors are getting smaller we’re nearing the quantum realm, where everything behaves differently. Electrons tunnel through barriers they’re not supposed to, and it takes ‘light’ with extremely high energy to etch out the chips
I think there will be 2 ways in which this can be solved.
The research behind quantizing models will continue to improve (ie: look at Google’s recent TurboQuant paper)
New chips will be manufactured specifically for AI inference and training that will be more efficient than the ones we have now.
both of these vectors are already progressing now and will help local AI become more capable in the near future.