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Neural Foundry's avatar

The Polymarket insider trading pattern here is fascianting because prediction markets were supposed to aggregate information efficiently, not create new arbitrage channels for people with advance knowledg. When someone turns 30k into 500k with four bets timed perfectly around policy annoucements, it stops being prediction and starts being extraction. I've seen this dynamic in finance where information asymetry becomes the actual product being traded rather than the underlying asset.

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